Press "Enter" to skip to content

Substantial Disruption

Oral Argument Impressions: the SCOTUS Abortion Case

The Supreme Court of the United States
The Supreme Court of the United States

I just listened to oral arguments in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health, the Mississippi case that could overturn Roe v. Wade and eliminate the constitutional right to abortion. For the record, I have not listened to any commentary nor read any coverage of the arguments, so this is my unfiltered reaction. I won’t predict the outcome; that’s a fool’s errand. But I could detect themes likely to be addressed in a case opinion, however it turns out.

The Issues

The Justices agreed the fulcrum issues are stare decisis and viability. Stare decisis means “stand by things decided.” Judicial precedent should be followed unless there are compelling reasons not to. The viability standard was the basis for both Roe and the later case of Casey v. Planned Parenthood. A woman currently has the right to terminate a pregnancy before the fetus is viable, but not afterward.

Stare Decisis

The justices agree that overturning Roe and Casey would be historic. Justice Amy Coney Barrett deemed it the central issue in the case. While that doesn’t necessarily mean she would uphold Roe, it does indicate she’s concerned about the implications of overruling what several of the Justices termed a “super precedent.”

Barrett’s personal view on abortion is absolute. She co-wrote a law review article with John H. Garvey, currently the President of the Catholic University of America, that referred to abortion as “always immoral.” If she ruled based on her personal beliefs, Barrett would ban abortion completely. She seems willing to temper her personal beliefs with a respect for precedent.

Justice Stephen Breyer warned the integrity of the Court may depend on the outcome. He noted Mississippi and other states passed abortion restrictions in the hope that six conservative justices would overturn Roe. That, said Breyer, would suggest the Court ruled on the basis of political partisanship, not on constitutional law. If the Court is regarded as a political institution guided by partisanship instead of the Constitution, he argued, the Court would lose its power and legitimacy and the rule of law would suffer.

Viability

Several justices questioned the viability standard. Under Roe and Casey, a woman has the right to an abortion before the fetus can survive outside the womb. Several justices suggested the line was arbitrary. Critics say Mississippi’s new law, which bans abortions after 15 weeks, is arbitrary. The logic is that, if the viability standard is arbitrary, what is wrong with upholding the Mississippi law, which is also arbitrary?

The opponents of the law noted that viability was a logical balance between the rights of the woman and the state and fetus. It’s a well understood, unambiguous national standard. They argued that abandoning the viability test would unleash chaos, with various states choosing various limits, followed by various courts issuing various rulings. If fifteen weeks is an acceptable standard, then why not twelve weeks? Or six? Or twenty-seven?

The Impact on Women

The challengers cited the burden a woman faces if forced to carry an unwanted pregnancy to term. Pregnancy impacts a woman’s body and sometimes threatens her health. Poor women and women of color suffer more adverse health consequences from pregnancies. I’m not sure that argument resonated with any of the male justices except for Justice Breyer.

Opponents could have pointed out the obvious: overruling Roe and Casey and permitting states to veto a woman’s child-bearing decision would relegate American women to the status of second-class citizenship. It would set the rights of women back more than a century.

The Unspoken Interest

There are three interested parties in the case: the woman, the fetus, and the state. The interests of the woman were well articulated, as noted above. The interest of the fetus – being born – was mentioned without much elaboration. The interest of the state was not given the attention it deserved. What exactly is the interest of the state?

Proponents cast the state’s interest as essentially humane and spiritual, preserving a human life for the sake of the life itself. But that’s a religious view, not a secular one. Nobody described the interest of the state as pecuniary, but that’s what it is. The state needs taxpayers. Every fetus is a potential taxpayer. Anybody suggesting a state’s interest is anything but financial is delusional.

The Legal Standard

Roe and Casey are based on the right to liberty and the concurrent right to privacy. There’s no distinction between the two; you can’t have one without the other. Imagine that you have absolute liberty to do anything you want, any time you want, anywhere you want. However, you are constantly under surveillance. That’s not liberty; it’s captivity.

Some justices suggested the liberty/privacy standard should be replaced. They questioned whether a “substantial burden” test is better. In other words, does the law create a substantial burden on women? That’s a test commonly used to determine the legitimacy of regulations, but rarely invoked when a fundamental constitutional right is involved. It would lead to chaos.

Would courts in California and Alabama define the standard the same way? That’s highly unlikely. The test would have to be imposed on a case-by-case basis. That could lead to judicial chaos and jam court calendars. If there’s anything both liberal and conservative judges agree on, it’s the need to control the docket.

The Outcome

It’s impossible to predict the outcome. However, the oral argument suggests that neither of two extreme results – preserving Roe and Casey as is or reversing them totally – is likely. If so, the Court may adopt an arbitrary standard, such as Mississippi’s fifteen weeks, or use the substantial burden test.  Either way, they will leave a judicial mess in their backwash.

Many observers hope the Supreme Court will pave a new judicial highway that settles the abortion debate once and for all. They are more likely to find themselves in a judicial round-about and travel in circles for decades

© 2021 by Mike Tully


<<< YOU CAN READ / DOWNLOAD A PDF VERSION BY CLICKING HERE >>>

Kyle Rittenhouse Is Going to Prison

Kyle Rittenhouse in Prison
Kyle Rittenhouse Is Going to Prison. He Will Be A Mascot of the Militant Right.

Kyle Rittenhouse is going to prison. I’m not talking about the conventional brick-and-mortar kind with prison guards and cells. A good lawyer and bad law made sure that won’t happen. The place he is headed will imprison his soul.

Rittenhouse will not mature into a man, but a mascot. He’s a favorite toy of the militant right, who will shrink-wrap and package him like bacon. Rittenhouse stupidly and unnecessarily placed himself into a situation he couldn’t handle and people died. He needs to contemplate his actions and their consequences and, hopefully, learn from them. That won’t happen.

Rittenhouse will be confined to a cultural and media prison from which he has little chance of escape. There will be interviews with Tucker Carlson and other celebrities. He will be lauded as a hero and patriot, not a clumsy vigilante. He has been offered Congressional internships. He might speak at the Republican National Convention. Rittenhouse will become a caricature of himself, a marionette dangled by Donald Trump and his minions.

His lawyer, Mark Richards, apparently tried to warn him. He didn’t want Rittenhouse to become a political pawn during the trial and objected when Carlson hired a film crew to follow him around. “I did not approve of that,” he told CNN. “I threw them out of the room several times. I don’t think a film crew is appropriate for something like this.”

Richards may have inspired Rittenhouse to tell Carlson in a Fox News interview that he is not a racist and actually supports Black Lives Matter. “I’m not a racist person. I support the BLM movement and peacefully demonstrating,” he said. Rittenhouse might be able to bring some national healing if he continues on that path. But he has already fallen into the clutches of the right-wing insurrection machine. He’ll be a lifer in a prison without walls.

Rittenhouse was imprisoned by Trump, who lured him into the Mar-A-Lago spider’s web and called him “really a nice young man.” Trump said the meeting took place at Rittenhouse’ request. “He wanted to know if he could come over and say hello because he was a fan.” A photo of them together spread on the Internet like an oil slick.

Trump denounced the fact that the trial took place at all. “He should not have had to suffer through a trial,” he said.  “He should never have been put through that.” Even though Rittenhouse, with a weapon he was not allowed to own, placed himself in a situation for which he was untrained and unprepared and carelessly and unnecessarily cost two people their lives, Trump insists his actions were beyond the reach of the law. As Greg Sargent notes in The Washington Post, “for Trump, the story is that Rittenhouse’s conduct was good and admirable.”

Adam Serwer writes in The Atlantic, “The fact that Rittenhouse has become a folk hero among Republicans points to darker currents within the GOP, where justifications for political violence against the opposition are becoming more common.” Noting the growing tendency among right-wingers to demonize the political opposition, Serwer states, “the desire to kill your political opponents is a sentiment no longer confined to the dark corners of the internet.”

“(H)is acquittal will be seen by some on the militant right as a validation of the sentiment that someday, perhaps soon, they will get to kill all ‘these people,’” he added. “No one they would listen to will tell them otherwise.”

Rittenhouse was acquitted, not because he did nothing wrong, but because Wisconsin law makes self-defense a “get out of jail free” card. Under Wisconsin law, the prosecution must prove “beyond a reasonable doubt” that the defendant was not acting in self-defense. That’s a very high burden and the prosecution could not meet it. The movement in Republican-controlled states to pass self-defense and “stand your ground” laws has not reduced violence. They encourage it by inspiring vigilantism.

Stephen Colbert succinctly nailed the problem with the acquittal: “Cards on the table,” he told his audience Monday night. “I am not a legal expert so I can’t tell you whether or not Kyle Rittenhouse broke the law. But I can tell you this, if he didn’t break the law, we should change the law.” Here is what should be changed:

  1. The State should not have to disprove self-defense. The burden should be on the defendant to prove it.
  2. Stand-your-ground laws should be repealed. Historically, self-defense was available when there was no reasonable chance to escape. If it’s possible to avoid conflict by simply getting the hell out of there, then do it.
  3. Wannabe cops, like Rittenhouse, should be held to a higher standard. Rittenhouse asked an acquaintance to illegally buy him an AR-15 because he “thought it looked cool.” That was the depth of his analysis. The law in Wisconsin and other states allows individuals to acquire and use weapons of war without any responsibility. The law should require that, when a person obtains a deadly weapon – especially a weapon of war –they have a responsibility to use it safely and appropriately. Self-defense should not be available unless defendants can prove they had been trained to use the weapon and exercised sound judgment when they fired it. Rittenhouse did neither — but he didn’t have to.

In Kenosha, Wisconsin, a kid unlawfully obtained a weapon of war, carried it into civil unrest, brandished it like a little boy at play, blundered into a situation that was beyond his control and capability, and carelessly and negligently killed two people when he panicked.

That’s not cool. It’s cold.

© 2021 by Mike Tully


<<< YOU CAN READ / DOWNLOAD A PDF VERSION BY CLICKING HERE  >>>